PREDIKSI HARGA SAHAM BANK BCA MENGGUNAKAN ALGORITMA PATCHTST DAN OPTIMASI STRATEGI TRADING DENGAN PPO

Reizha Fajrian, . (2025) PREDIKSI HARGA SAHAM BANK BCA MENGGUNAKAN ALGORITMA PATCHTST DAN OPTIMASI STRATEGI TRADING DENGAN PPO. Skripsi thesis, Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta.

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Abstract

Stock price prediction is a major challenge in the financial world due to market volatility and non-linear characteristics. In this research, a deep learning-based approach using Patch Time Series Transformer (PatchTST) is employed to predict BBCA (PT Bank Central Asia Tbk) stock prices in the short term. PatchTST utilizes a Transformer architecture specifically modified for time series data, processing input in patch format to enhance the model's ability to capture long-term patterns. The prediction results from PatchTST are used as input for a trading agent trained using the Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) reinforcement learning algorithm, aiming to optimize adaptive decision-making strategies for selling, buying, or holding stocks. Evaluation is conducted by comparing the PPO-derived strategy with conventional strategies such as Buy & Hold and SMA Crossover. Results show that the combination of PatchTST and PPO produces higher cumulative returns, lower portfolio drawdown, and better Sharpe Ratio and Profit Factor.

Item Type: Thesis (Skripsi)
Additional Information: [No.Panggil: 1810511078] [Pembimbing: Dr. Widya Cholil, M.I.T] [Penguji 1: Ati Zaidiah, S.Kom.,M.TI] [Penguji 2: Radinal Setyadinsa, S.Pd., M.T.I]
Uncontrolled Keywords: Stock prediction, PatchTST, PPO, reinforcement learning, deep learning
Subjects: L Education > L Education (General)
Q Science > Q Science (General)
T Technology > T Technology (General)
Divisions: Fakultas Ilmu Komputer > Program Studi Informatika (S1)
Depositing User: REIZHA FAJRIAN
Date Deposited: 06 Aug 2025 04:47
Last Modified: 06 Aug 2025 04:47
URI: http://repository.upnvj.ac.id/id/eprint/37881

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