ANALISIS DETERMINAN NERACA TRANSAKSI BERJALAN DI INDONESIA

Shellyna Rahma Nur Fitria, . (2024) ANALISIS DETERMINAN NERACA TRANSAKSI BERJALAN DI INDONESIA. Skripsi thesis, Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta.

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Abstract

One component of the balance of payments that reflects a country's economic health in relation to international trade is the current account balance. Therefore, economic policymakers and market analysts can use the current account balance as a crucial tool to understand global economic dynamics and determine appropriate policies to achieve sustainable economic balance. This study aims to analyze the factors influencing the current account balance in Indonesia using quarterly time series data from 2007 to 2023 and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) analysis method with the assistance of Eviews 12 software. The results show that in the short-term model, the export variable for the current year does not have a significant impact, whereas at lag 1, lag 2, and lag 3, this variable has a positive and significant effect on the current account balance. The foreign exchange reserves variable has a positive and significant effect on the current account balance, while the exchange rate and inflation variables do not have a significant effect. In the long-term model, the export and exchange rate variables do not have a significant effect on the current account balance, while the foreign exchange reserves variable has a positive and significant effect, and the inflation variable has a negative and significant effect on the current account balance.

Item Type: Thesis (Skripsi)
Additional Information: [No.Panggil: 1910115026] [Pembimbing: Desmintari] [Penguji 1: Purwanto Widodo] [Penguji 2: Indri Arrafi Juliannisa]
Uncontrolled Keywords: Current Account Balance, Exports, Foreign Exchange Reserves, Exchange Rate, Inflation
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
Divisions: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan (S1)
Depositing User: SHELLYNA RAHMA NUR FITRIA
Date Deposited: 28 Aug 2024 03:45
Last Modified: 28 Aug 2024 03:45
URI: http://repository.upnvj.ac.id/id/eprint/31966

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