Rayya Az Zahra Rionanda, . (2026) ANALISIS STRATEGI PENGENDALIAN PERSEDIAAN BAHAN BAKU KAIN MENGGUNAKAN PENDEKATAN PERAMALAN PADA CV. XYZ. Skripsi thesis, Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta.
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Abstract
CV XYZ is a garment manufacturing company in South Tangerang producing Pertamina field service uniforms using a make-to-stock system. Fabric procurement decisions have relied on assumptions and experience rather than quantitative methods, creating risks of overstock and stockout. This study aims to forecast finished product demand and establish a data-driven inventory control policy for fabric raw materials. Data used covers historical demand and fabric purchases from July 2024 to June 2025. Forecasting methods compared include Naive, Moving Average, and Single Exponential Smoothing, evaluated using MAPE, MAD, and MSE. Results show Single Exponential Smoothing with α = 0.1 as the best method with a MAPE of 17.6%. The demand forecast for the next period is 2,407 units, equivalent to 6,499 yards of fabric. At a 95% service level, inventory control parameters are: Safety Stock of 853 yards, Reorder Point of 2,375 yards, Maximum Stock of 3,897 yards, and Order Quantity of 1,522 yards. These findings are intended to serve as a reference for CV XYZ in implementing a more systematic and data-driven approach to inventory planning and control as an alternative to its current conventional practices.
| Item Type: | Thesis (Skripsi) |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | [No. Panggil: 2210312009] [Pembimbing: Mohammad Rachman Waluyo] [Penguji 1: Alina Cynthia Dewi] [Penguji 2: Vina Sari Yosephine] |
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Inventory Control, Forecasting, Single Exponential Smoothing, Safety Stock, Reorder Point |
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD61 Risk Management T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) |
| Divisions: | Fakultas Teknik > Program Studi Teknik Industri (S1) |
| Depositing User: | RAYYA AZ ZAHRA RIONANDA |
| Date Deposited: | 28 Aug 2026 06:47 |
| Last Modified: | 28 Aug 2026 06:47 |
| URI: | http://repository.upnvj.ac.id/id/eprint/52869 |
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