ANALISIS PENGARUH PRODUKSI, HARGA GLOBAL, KURS, DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP PERUBAHAN NILAI EKSPOR CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) INDONESIA

Rasendriya Rahya Rabbani, . (2025) ANALISIS PENGARUH PRODUKSI, HARGA GLOBAL, KURS, DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP PERUBAHAN NILAI EKSPOR CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) INDONESIA. Skripsi thesis, Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta.

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Abstract

Exports play a pivotal role in Indonesia’s economic growth, with crude palm oil (CPO) being a key contributor to international trade. A decline in CPO export value could potentially weaken economic performance. This study investigates the influence of production, global prices, exchange rates, and interest rates on Indonesia’s CPO export value using the Error Correction Model (ECM) for the 1995-2024 period. The findings indicate that production has a significant positive impact on export value in both the short run and the long run. Global prices and exchange rates also exert significant effects across both horizons, while domestic interest rates show an indirect influence. Overall, the study confirms that Indonesia’s CPO export dynamics are shaped by a combination of production factors and macroeconomic variables, with distinct patterns of relationship between short-run and long-run contexts.

Item Type: Thesis (Skripsi)
Additional Information: No. Panggil: 2210115096 Pembimbing: Raden Parianom Penguji 1: Nucke Widowati Kusumo Projo Penguji 2: Sugianto
Uncontrolled Keywords: Export Value, Crude Palm Oil (CPO), Production, Global Price, Exchange Rate, Interest Rate, Error Correction Model (ECM)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Q Science > Q Science (General)
Divisions: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan (S1)
Depositing User: RASENDRIYA RAHYA RABBANI
Date Deposited: 30 Jan 2026 08:30
Last Modified: 30 Jan 2026 08:30
URI: http://repository.upnvj.ac.id/id/eprint/42466

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